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A Global Update on FTTH

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Colin Goodwin
FTTH Council Asia-Pac
A Global Update on
FTTH
Role of the FTTH Council Asia-Pacific
Mission :
To educate, promote and accelerate FTTH and the resulting
quality-of-life and economic benefits.
Objectives :
Supply a consistent and accurate view of FTTH
Promote FTTH market development
Be recognized by the industry as the FTTH resource
FTTx Architectures
FTTCurb / FTTNode – Fiber to Street Cabinet
• distribution and drop cables: telco copper (DSL) or new copper
• categorised as DSL technologies.
FTTBuilding – Fiber to Apartment / Office Building
• in-building cables: building copper or fiber
• regarded as a transitional stage to FTTH
FTTHome – Complete Fiber Path to Home
• in-building cables: house copper or fiber or wireless
• may require more initial investment (capex), but promises
considerable savings in operating costs (opex).
FTTH Subscribers Connected ( mid-2008 )
~3.4M ~1.4M ~27.4M
South Korea
KEY STATS*
* As of the end of June 2008
STATUS (relative to positive FTTH/B deployment)
Competition Regulation Services
• Population
48.6 million
• HOUSEHOLDS
17.4 million
• AVG Pop/HH
2.8
• Dominant FTTx Architecture
FTTB
• Total FTTH/B Subscribers
6.41 million
• FTTH/B Penetration Rate
36.8%; 1 of 14
• # Broadband Subscribers
15.1 million
86.8% penetration
28.8% DSL
35.1% Cable
• Deployment Trends
– Mature broadband market with high penetration
– Emphasis on High-Speed Internet
– KT and Hanaro actively deploying FTTH/B
• Technology Trends
– Predominantly FTTB+VDSL or LAN and FTTH
– KT deploying EPON
– Hanaro deploying GPON
• Regulatory Trends
– Strong Government engagement with local industry
– Government funded projects (BCN, U-City)
– Telco’s blocked from video/TV broadcasting
– Telcos’s offering VOD
Hong Kong
KEY STATS*
* As of the end of June 2008
STATUS (relative to positive FTTH/B deployment)
Competition Regulation Services
• Population
7.1 million
• HOUSEHOLDS
2.3 million
• AVG Pop/HH
3.2
• Dominant FTTx Architecture
FTTB
• Total FTTH/B Subscribers
659,000
• FTTH/B Penetration Rate
28.6%; 2 of 14
• # Broadband Subscribers
2.1 million
91.3% penetration
59% DSL
15.7% Cable
• Deployment Trends
– Mature broadband market with high penetration
– Strong market for IPTV
– PCCW and HKBN leading network operators and service
providers
• Technology Trends
– Predominantly FTTB + xDLS or LAN
– HKBN deploying GPON based FTTH
• Regulatory Trends
– Government has encouraged over-building and very high
levels of competition
Japan
KEY STATS*
* As of the end of June 2008
STATUS (relative to positive FTTH/B deployment)
Competition Regulation Services
• Deployment Trends
– Monthly FTTH/B deployments more than DSL
– NTT East and West have 71% of FTTH/B market
– KDDI and USEN deploying
• Technology Trends
– Predominately GE-PON FTTH based
• Regulatory Trends
– NTT provide a wholesale FTTH/B network
– Unbundled NTT fiber available at mandated prices
– Telco’s are blocked from TV/video broadcasting
– Telco’s providing VOD
• Population
127.6 million
• HOUSEHOLDS
48.9 million
• AVG Pop/HH
2.6
• Dominant FTTx Architecture
FTTH
• Total FTTH/B Subscribers
12.0 million
• FTTH/B Penetration Rate
24.5%; 3 of 14
• # Broadband Subscribers
29.4 million
51.4% DSL
13.1% Cable
Taiwan
KEY STATS*
• Population
22.9 million
• HOUSEHOLDS
7.4 million
• AVG Pop/HH
3.1
• Dominant FTTx Architecture
FTTB
• Total FTTH/B Subscribers
574,000
• FTTH/B Penetration Rate
7.8%; 4 or 14
• # Broadband Subscribers
5.6 million
75.7% penetration
83.8% DSL
7% cable
0.3% wireless
* As of the end of June 2008
STATUS (relative to positive FTTH/B deployment)
Competition Regulation Services
• Deployment Trends
– Incumbent Chungwha Telecom (CHT) has dominant role with all
broadband and has announced plans to increase FTTx
• Technology Trends
– FTTB + VDSL2 or LAN
– EPON FTTH/B trials
– GPON interoperability test underway
• Regulatory Trends
– ICT joint government initiative may stimulate deeper fiber
penetration
– Broadcast video offered via 4 cable companies
Sweden
KEY STATS*
• Population
9.1 million
• HOUSEHOLDS
4.4 million
• AVG Pop/HH
2.07
• Dominant FTTx Architecture
FTTB
• Total FTTH/B Subscribers
330,324
• FTTH/B Penetration Rate
7.5%; 5 of 14
• # Broadband Subscribers
2.82 million
* As of the end of June 2008
STATUS (relative to positive FTTH/B deployment)
Competition Regulation Services
• Deployment Trends
– Open Access networks mainly deployed by municipalities
• 3 layers: network owner, communication operator, service provider
• Over 150 power utilities controlled by municipalities involved in a fiber
optic deployment
– TeliaSonera does not deploy copper local loop anymore in
greenfield areas
• Technology Trends
– Ethernet Point to Point still the most deployed technology
– First PON networks by several Citynets
• Regulatory Trends
– The main constraint concerns the provision of services to end
users by municipalities when ISPs are present
– Regarding civil works : some operators engage direct
transactions with municipalities in order to accelerate the
process
• in some cases, theses transactions include a financial counterpart
Norway
KEY STATS*
• Population
4.6 million
• HOUSEHOLDS
2 million
• AVG Pop/HH
2.09
• Dominant FTTx Architecture
FTTH
• Total FTTH/B Subscribers
141,600
• FTTH/B Penetration Rate
7.1%; 6 of 14
• # Broadband Subscribers
1.53 million
•As of the end of June 2008
STATUS (relative to positive FTTH/B deployment)
Competition Regulation Services
• Deployment Trends
– As elsewhere in Scandinavia, power utilities are the main
involved players in FTTH/B deployments
– Lyse, subsidiary of power utility Lyse Energi, still largely leading
the market
• Targeting Southwest region of Norway
• Provides Triple play services to more than 87,000 subscribers
• Objective: 200,000 FTTH subscribers by end 2009
• Technology Trends
– Mainly FTTH architecture and EP2P deployments
– Telenor (incumbent) plans GPON
• Regulatory Trends
– No specific rules
Slovenia
KEY STATS*
• Population
2 million
• HOUSEHOLDS
700,000
• AVG Pop/HH
2.8
• Dominant FTTx Architecture
FTTH
• Total FTTH/B Subscribers
31,974
• FTTH/B Penetration Rate
4.6%; 7 of 14
• # Broadband Subscribers
366,500 (1Q08)
* As of the end of June 2008
STATUS (relative to positive FTTH/B deployment)
Competition Regulation Services
• Deployment Trends
– Two operators involved
• T2, which launched FTTH services in October 2006 and passes more
than 100,000 homes (and counts more than 9,000 subscribers)
• Telecom Slovenije, incumbent, with its “F2” project, had planned to
spend €50 million in 2007 taking fiber to 50,000 homes in Slovenia's
main cities, running new cables through its extant ducts for the initial
phase of the rollout
– No noteworthy involvement from municipalities and/or utilities
• Technology Trends
– Telecom Slovenije is deploying FTTH/EP2P technology
• Regulatory Trends
– No specific rules
Iceland
KEY STATS*
• Population
300,000
• HOUSEHOLDS
107,000
• AVG Pop/HH
2.8
• Dominant FTTx Architecture
FTTH
• Total FTTH/B Subscribers
4,175
• FTTH/B Penetration Rate
• 3.9%; 8 of 14
• # Broadband Subscribers
100,400 (1Q08)
* As of the end of June 2008
STATUS (relative to positive FTTH/B deployment)
Competition Regulation Services
• Deployment Trends
– Main deployment by Reykjavik Energy, the largest energy utility
company in Iceland
• Objective: 26,000 homes passed for 5,300 Subscribers in 2008, then
49,000 homes passed for 18,700 Subscribers in 2010
– The incumbent, Simmin/Mila, started FTTH deployments in
October 2007 and plans less than 1,900 subscribers in 2010
• Technology Trends
– GPON for Simmin
– EP2P for Reykjavik Energy
• Regulatory Trends
– No specific rules
Denmark
KEY STATS*
• Population
5.4 million
• HOUSEHOLDS
2.5 million
• AVG Pop/HH
2.07
• Dominant FTTx Architecture
FTTH
• Total FTTH/B Subscribers
79.000
• FTTH/B Penetration Rate
3.2%; 9 of 14
• # Broadband Subscribers
2.08 million
* As of the end of June 2008
STATUS (relative to positive FTTH/B deployment)
Competition Regulation Services
• Deployment Trends
– Market-based development (no real involvement from the
government)
– Regional Power utilities are still the main category of players
involved
• They are present all around the country
• Power utilities’ total investment plan reaches nearly EUR1.35 billion
over 10 years
– Low degree of infrastructure competition; TDC leader on ADSL
and CATV
• Technology Trends
– Mainly EP2P technology with a few GPON and EPON
deployments
– Mostly FTTB+Ethernet LAN architecture
• Regulatory Trends
– No specific rules
United States
KEY STATS*
• Population
305 million
• HOUSEHOLDS
115 million
• AVG Pop/HH
2.65
• Dominant FTTx Architecture
FTTH
• Total FTTH/B Subscribers
3,334,000
• FTTH/B Penetration Rate
2.9%; 10 of 14
• # Broadband Subscribers
69 million
* As of the end of June 2008
STATUS (relative to positive FTTH/B deployment)
Competition Regulation Services
• Deployment Trends
– Telco and MSO competitive dynamic results in triple play investment
• Both entities increasing revenue through voice and video services
• Mass deployment of High Definition service
– Verizon largest announced FTTH deployment; 9+M HP, 2.5M HC
• Multiple deployments by ITCo’s and municipalities
• 600+ service providers deploying FTTH
– Deployment costs less than $1800 for HP + HC
• All RBOCs deploying FTTH for greenfield deployments
• Technology Trends
– PON dominates deployments
• BPON widely deployed; GPON initial deployments increasing
– RF Video dominates video deployment; IPTV used for VOD and limited
broadcast services
• Regulatory Trends
– Favorable regulatory environment resulting in positive telco investment
• Triennial Review, Video Franchising, Municipal Broadband
– Broadcast video services legal for telco’s
People’s Republic of China
KEY STATS*
* As of the end of June 2008
STATUS (relative to positive FTTH/B deployment)
Competition Regulation Services
• Deployment Trends
– China Telecom (CTC) and China Netcom (CNC) are incumbent
wireline service providers deploying FTTH/B
– Great Wall Broadband deploying FTTH\
– FTTB + LAN in new buildings and VDSL2 in others
• Technology Trends
– PON based FTTB emerging
– CTC standardized their own EPON for interoperability
– CTC deploying CTC EPON
– CNC and CTC have GPON trials
• Regulatory Trends
– Restructure of telecommunication industry allows 3 service
providers with wireline and wireless services - CTC, CNC and
China Mobile
– Telco’s are blocked from TV/video broadcasting
• Population
1,307 million
• HOUSEHOLDS
407.3 million
• AVG Pop/HH
3.2
• Dominant FTTx Architecture
FTTB
• Total FTTH/B Subscribers
6 million
• FTTH/B Penetration Rate
8.7%; 11 of 14
• # Broadband Subscribers
69.1 million
17% penetration
90.9% DSL
0.4% Cable
The Netherlands
KEY STATS*
• Population
16.5 million
• HOUSEHOLDS
7 million
• AVG Pop/HH
2.3
• Dominant FTTx Architecture
FTTH
• Total FTTH/B Subscribers
101,000
• FTTH/B Penetration Rate
1.4%; 12 of 14
• # Broadband Subscribers
5.56 million
* As of the end of June 2008
STATUS (relative to positive FTTH/B deployment)
Competition Regulation Services
• Deployment Trends
– Lot of municipalities involved in VHS deployments,
Amsterdam (CityNet) being the main project
– KPN’s strategy :
• Not a national project
• Involved in local/regional projects via partners (municipalities,
utilities…)
• Technology Trends
– Mainly FTTH and EP2P technology
• Regulatory Trends
– The Open Network model of Amsterdam’s project has
been validated by the European Commission which
wanted to check the availability of the city’s investment
in that project
Italy
KEY STATS*
• Population
58.1 million
• HOUSEHOLDS
22.3 million
• AVG Pop/HH
2.6
• Dominant FTTx Architecture
FTTB
• Total FTTH/B Subscribers
311,500
• FTTH/B Penetration Rate
1.4%; 13 of 14
• # Broadband Subscribers
10.76 million
•As of the end of June 2008
STATUS (relative to positive FTTH/B deployment)
Competition Regulation Services
• Deployment Trends
– Private operators are still the main players involved in FTTH/B
– Incumbent Telecom Italia has announced its strategy and plans
limited VHS deployments mainly based on VDSL and GPON
– Main player : Fastweb / Swisscom
• Objective: covering 30% of fixed lines in 15 cities
• But the operator is turning back to DSL and unbundling
– Very low infrastructure competition (no cable modem)
• Technology Trends
– Mainly FTTB architecture and EP2P deployments
• Regulatory Trends
– No specific rules except local/regional conditions and
requirements when cabling new buildings
Singapore
KEY STATS*
• Population
3.6 million
• HOUSEHOLDS
1.1 million
• AVG Pop/HH
3.3
• Dominant FTTx Architecture
FTTH
• Total FTTH/B Subscribers
15,000
• FTTH/B Penetration Rate
1.4%; 14 of 14
• # Broadband Subscribers
880,000
80% penetration
53% DSL
45.6% cable
* As of the end of June 2008
STATUS (relative to positive FTTH/B deployment)
Competition Regulation Services
• Deployment Trends
– SingTel and StarHub split the broadband market
– Singapore government initiative plans high-speed connections
through the nation by 2015
– Target is 50% FTTH penetration by 2010 and 90% by 2012
– Winner of OSP and network RFP to be announced Q308 and
Q109 respectively
• Technology Trends
– FTTH
• Regulatory Trends
– Singapore government initiative plans high-speed connections
through the nation by 2015
– Network is to be open access
Mid-Year 2008 vs. YE 2006 Summary
KEY STAT
• Total FTTH/B Subscribers
• FTTH/B Penetration Rate
STATUS TRENDS (relative to positive FTTH/B deployment – based on % of ranked economies )
Competition
Regulation
Services
2006* 2008** % Change
2006 2008 2006 2008 2006 2008
31.505 million
4.9%
17.836 million
3.1%
+77%
+58%
27%
0%
0%
14%
0%
0%
14%
46%
46%
50%
29%
50%
54%
54%
54%
36%
71%
50%
Key statistics from economies w/ >1% penetration:
* Includes 11 economies ** Includes 14 economies
Coming Attractions in 2009
• Singapore
NetCo RFP awarded to OpenNet (Axia, Singtel, SPH, SPT)
Government Grant of $750M
OpCo RFP – submission 14 Nov 08, award Q1’09
• Malaysia
HSBB to build in selected regions, 20Mbps, fiber-based
BBGP for all Malaysia, 2Mbps, multi-technology
Telecom Malaysia will build HSBB
Conclusions
• FTTH is THE mainstream fixed access technology
( over 32M FTTH/B subscribers globally )
• Governments and Regulators in all countries are
working towards the large scale rollout of FTTH
( RFP’s underway in Malaysia, Singapore, Australia, ..)
• Asia-Pac leads the world in FTTH depoyment !
NA Conference
• Don Tapscott, Opening Keynote,
international best selling author of
Wikinomics: How Mass Collaboration
Changes Everything. Sponsored by Corning
• Seven panels on hot topics in the FTTH
industry
• Success stories, case studies, best practices
• Networking opportunities
• 4 tracks – technology, network design,
business & regulatory, success stories
• Choose from more than 30 sessions
• EXPO Hall – 160 exhibitors
• Fiber-Powered Pavilion/Home Networking
Zone
• Pre and post-conference workshops
Join industry leaders to examine how fiber to the home will be the catalyst for connecting
communities at home and across the globe. 2,000 attendees expected!
Foundation Sponsor: Platinum Sponsors:
FTTH-Council Europe:
Annual Conference Copenhagen 2009
Building a Sustainable Future
• 11th and 12th February 2009
• Bella Center Copenhagen
• Regulatory and policy affairs
• Technical progress
• Content and services
• Market environment
• European and
international cases
Benefit from exclusive networking
opportunities with experts!
Share views with leading stakeholders
and >80 speakers!
Visit >70 top notch exhibitors!
Information: www.conference.ftthcouncil.eu