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FTTH Council Europe

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Galit Wellner
Board Member
Content
• FTTH Council Europe
• FTTH Market:
– FTTH Worldwide
– FTTH in Europe
– FTTH Market Forecast
• Building a Sustainable Future:
– FTTH and Society
– FTTH and Economy
– FTTH and Environment
• Conclusion
FTTH Council Europe
FTTH Council Europe
FTTH Worldwide
FTTH Worldwide December 2008
1.7M 28 M3.9M
...and FTTH continues to grow
Global Ranking
• Joint project of the three FTTH Councils worldwide
• Based on market research of the Councils, using the
FTTH Council FTTH Definitions Document
• Ranking: Percentage of households in a
country/economy that have a FTTH connection
(subscribers)
• All countries with more than 1% FTTH penetrations are
included
FTTx Definitions
Included
• FTTHome – Complete Fibre Path to Home
– in-building cables: house copper or fibre or wireless
• FTTBuilding – Fibre to Apartment/Office Building
– in-building cables: building copper or fibre regarded as a transitional
stage to FTTH
• Both defined in global FTTH Councils, FTTH Definitions Document
– http://www.ftthcouncil.eu/documents/studies/FTTH-
Definitions_Update_2008.pdf
Not Included
• FTTCurb / FTTNode – Fibre to Street Cabinet
– distribution and drop cables using telco copper (DSL) or new copper
– categorised as DSL technologies.
Global
FTTH/FTTB
Ranking
• 13 European economies in
the Global Ranking
• But big economies like
Germany, France, UK etc.
are missing
• If European Union would
be seen as one economy
(like USA) then only 0.6%
penetration and no
mentioning in Global
Ranking
FTTH in Europe
FTTH in Europe
Status December 2008
• 1.7 Mio. subscribers,
11.3 Mio. homes passed
• 3/4 of subscribers
in just 5 countries
• Majority of projects are
driven by municipalities
and utility companies
• Less than 10% of homes
passed are deployed by
incumbents
Source: FTTH-Council Europe/IDATE 2008
FTTH in Europe
• 52.8% of subscribers are
connected to FTTH
• 47.2% of subscribers are
connected to FTTB
New FTTH/B subscribers between June 08 and December 08
0
10 000
20 000
30 000
40 000
50 000
60 000
70 000
80 000
N
etherland
France
N
orway
Sweden
Spain
G
erm
any
Slovenia
D
enm
ark
Italy
Portugal
Evolution FTTH/B Homes Passed in Europe (1)
0
500 000
1 000 000
1 500 000
2 000 000
2 500 000
3 000 000
3 500 000
4 000 000
4 500 000
5 000 000
France**
Italy
Sweden
D
enm
ark
N
etherlands*
Slovakia
Finland
Spain
SloveniaG
erm
any*
O
thers
June 2005
June 2006
June 2007
June 2008
Dec 2008
Heavy Reading on FTTH
maturity:
•USA are 4 years ahead of
Europe
•Japan is 8-10 years ahead
Europe
FTTH in Eastern Europe
• In Russia, FTTH/B is becoming the main means of Internet
access:
– Deployments have been made by private operators
VimpelCom and Comstar-UTS
– The main architecture is FTTB
– There are, December 2008, more than 6.3 million FTTH/B
homes passed, with a take-up rate of nearly 10%
• Major deployments also in Slovenia and Slovakia and Baltic
countries
FTTH Market Forecast
European FTTH Forecast
1604
2379
3665
5649
8678
13302
20548
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
ConnectedHouseholds,000s
Top 10 FTTH Countries in EU 2013
By Number of Connected Households
Building a Sustainable Future
Is FTTH a Sustainable Technology?
• Does FTTH have a positive impact on our:
– Society and Quality of Life
– Economy
– Environment
FTTH & Society
FTTH Impacts our Lives
eBusiness
eHealth
eHome
eGovernment
Teleworking
Environmental
eLearning
Societal
Web 2.0
eEntertainment
Socio-Econ. Benefits of FTTH
• FTTH can provide:
– Significant reduction in telecom costs
– Improvements in educational facilities and services
– Improved healthcare
– Improved person care and reduced care costs
– Positive impact on GDP (Gross Domestic Product) in
rural areas
Improved Quality of Life
Socio-Economic Impact
Study by Ovum for FTTH Council Europe:
•FTTH enables users to benefit from real
broadband application services
•FTTH-users are ready to
use new services for
teleworking, eLearning
etc.
•FTTH-users are more
satisfied
•Highest impact in rural areas
FTTH and Society
The “Net Generation” will expect to have high
bandwidth available:
• Conclusion of Don Tapscott about his research:
“Young people all over the world are the active users of the new
media and also active collaborators and contributors to all this. They
are coming of age in the digital age and this leads to an
unprecedented demand on network’s bandwidth, need for speed and
insatiable thirst for content. That situation changes their mindset and
their demand in an unprecedented manner. As they will become
parents themselves, that demand will only grow further and networks
better prepare for that.”
• Our real-life experiment in Copenhagen with three young university
students proved Don Tapscott right.
FTTH & Society
• FTTH has positive impact on society
FTTH & Economy
Economic Impact
• FTTH creates business opportunities:
– Deployment of FTTH
– Operation of FTTH networks: increased ARPU and
lower churn-rate
– Development and operation of new and innovative
services
– Increased revenues for entertainment industry based
on online services and content
– Efficient telecommunication and information
exchange – new ways of working
• FTTH is a critical driver for the knowledge economy
Macro-Economic Impact
US-Report “Connected Nation” found that adopting a national policy to
stimulate the deployment of broadband in underserved areas of the U.S.
could have dramatic and far-reaching economic impacts.
For instance, just a 7% increase in broadband adoption could result in:
– $92 billion through 2.4 million jobs created or saved annually
– $35.2 billion in value from 3.8 billion more hours saved per year from accessing
broadband at home
– $6.4 billion per year in mileage saving from unnecessary driving
– $662 million saved per year in reduced healthcare costs
– $134 billion per year in total direct economic impact of accelerating broadband
across the United States
Australian Report “True Broadband” found that the availability of true
broadband just in the region of Brisbane and Moreton (Queensland)
results in
– More than $4 billion increase of Output within 15 years
– More then 2/3 of output-increase comes from industries other than
telecommunication
– 1,500 new jobs per year
FTTH & Economy
• FTTH has positive impact on economy
FTTH & Environment
Environmental Impact
• Usage of FTTH-services has positive impact on environment
– Less communing and therefore less traffic
– Less business travels
– Less long distance transport of patients
• Key Results of a study of PriceWaterhouseCoopers/Ecobilan:
– The environmental impact of the deployment of a typical
FTTH network will be positive within less than 15 years in
average
– Intelligent deployment (e.g. using sewers and existing
ducts) can even improve the positive impact of FTTH
– Using FTTH and FTTH services save CO² equivalent of
driving with a car 4,600 km per year – for every
household!
Environmental Impact
• Next Step: FTTH Council Europe together with PwC
created a “Configurator” which allows to calculate the
specific impact of every FTTH-network
• Network operators/planners/deployers can therefore:
– Calculate the environmental footprint of their network
– Optimise the deployment for perfect environmental
benefits
– Compare the network with other projects
– Prove the positive environmental impact of their network
to the stakeholders
FTTH & Environment
• FTTH has positive impact on environment
Conclusion
FTTH & Sustainability
• FTTH has a positive impact on our:
– Society and Quality of Life
– Economy
– Environment Sustainability
Conclusion
Building a FTTH network
Building a Sustainable Network
Building a Sustainable Future
Let‘s start today!
FTTH COUNCIL EUROPE
Thank you for your attention!